Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 1967.270089 2146.155943 2328.899969 2529.265929 2742.490681 2962.336410 3205.855593
2024-11-03 1729.752019 1998.394297 2284.475725 2610.682632 2971.189963 3356.289150 3797.603688
2024-11-10 1567.108419 1889.221349 2242.861773 2657.610907 3128.309284 3643.543134 4247.735251
2024-11-17 1416.229425 1771.910779 2172.824033 2654.387880 3213.186953 3837.284743 4582.957827
2024-11-24 1278.513699 1655.306789 2090.360643 2624.301574 3256.219954 3974.542790 4846.835921
2024-12-01 1192.602711 1591.547534 2062.010766 2650.274873 3358.336646 4175.325355 5181.022851
2024-12-08 1104.904346 1518.276125 2015.725585 2648.817189 3422.986731 4328.722489 5457.714407
2024-12-15 1053.121174 1485.233140 2014.614736 2698.816892 3547.009593 4551.210203 5816.342510
2024-12-22 975.368089 1413.762457 1960.982051 2679.624203 3583.101157 4665.766774 6044.513533
2024-12-29 940.542965 1395.308805 1971.982860 2739.465809 3715.611929 4897.031268 6414.809132
2025-01-05 890.592255 1353.534754 1950.233812 2755.296362 3791.407155 5058.048374 6699.735297
2025-01-12 840.824395 1308.943674 1922.110525 2760.524959 3852.000175 5199.293175 6960.344175
2025-01-19 756.677024 1213.403599 1823.587424 2671.583990 3790.882067 5188.591623 7033.998557
2025-01-26 742.930089 1215.885670 1856.335770 2756.228640 3955.086645 5463.736445 7468.940298
2025-02-02 717.672547 1200.221656 1863.036181 2805.133522 4072.381201 5679.873777 7831.178097
2025-02-09 676.539257 1159.084806 1832.459969 2801.775157 4119.460194 5805.503032 8078.764175
2025-02-16 629.383090 1106.346746 1783.151333 2770.423825 4127.320589 5879.180773 8259.303123
2025-02-23 603.859147 1084.756840 1776.787157 2797.489418 4213.110270 6054.315532 8571.517459
2025-03-02 571.468005 1050.803513 1751.016118 2795.970500 4259.147855 6176.981337 8816.124297
2025-03-09 556.665710 1043.466417 1763.390086 2848.065928 4378.656066 6397.381358 9189.950389
2025-03-16 522.689764 1003.811323 1726.391319 2828.069904 4397.586233 6483.567947 9387.751441
2025-03-23 512.964698 1002.725691 1746.566037 2890.411707 4531.213550 6723.894677 9790.594289
2025-03-30 491.827271 981.766131 1735.761085 2906.901442 4600.322968 6877.716868 10079.743219